Preview: God data may help the national football team get 1 point, if the first goal can be kept?(danyu)
2024-10-15
In the first three rounds of the previous World Asian Preliminaries, the national football team suffered three consecutive defeats without scoring a point, ranking at the bottom of the group, and the qualifying situation was in jeopardy. In the last round away to Australia, the national football team conceded three goals in a row and lost 1-3 to the opponent after scoring one goal, which was also the reversal of the opponent in two consecutive games of the national football team, and the poor adaptability and chaotic substitution strategy of the head coach Ivan were criticized. In the first three games, the national team was scored four goals by the opponent through set-pieces, while Ivan did not make any tactical adjustments. As the saying goes, you can't repeat it again and again, and I'm afraid that the national football team will also "draw inferences" about this issue.
However, the national football team's combat power at home is still in the past. In the past 10 home matches in the World Asian preliminaries, the team has achieved 3 wins, 4 draws and 3 losses. During this period, they only lost to Japan, Korea and Saudi Arabia, and even Australia failed to take three points at home in the national football team. And it should be noted that from 2021 to the present, the national football team has had 5 index concessions at home, of which 4 times have won the index, as strong as Japan is only a small victory at the home of the national football team. And this time, the home stadium of the national football team once again received data, can it continue to write "data magic"?
Indonesia played away to Bahrain in the last round, and after leading 2-1 in the 90th minute, they suffered a draw in the 99th minute and unfortunately won a point, and the Indonesian team expressed strong dissatisfaction with the super long stoppage time after the game. At present, Indonesia have drawn three games and are temporarily in fifth place in the group, but they are only one point away from second place, and the morale of the whole team is still high. In recent years, Indonesia has naturalized a large number of players with Eredivisie backgrounds, and now there are as many as 13 naturalized players in the squad, and the strength of the team has been greatly improved. However, Indonesia's performance on the road is relatively average, with only 2 wins, 4 draws and 4 losses in the last 10 away matches in the World Asian Qualifiers, and even a little helpless against the weak Philippines.
Looking back at the historical confrontation between the two sides, the national football team can be said to have the upper hand. The two teams have played each other 13 times in history, and the national football team has 9 wins, 3 draws and 1 loss, occupying an overwhelming advantage. And the last time the national football team lost to Indonesia in the A-level competition was back in 1957, and the national football team has not tasted defeat in the 67 years since. Although Indonesia's strength is no longer what it used to be, the 67-year unbeaten record of the national football team is undoubtedly a psychological hint that helps the national football players to stay calm and confident.
Judging from the score odds given by the relevant institutions, the odds of a 1-1 draw between the two sides are 1 to 6, which is far lower than the odds of other scores; The minimum odds for both sides to win are 1-0, with the Indonesian side winning at 7.5 to 1 and the national football team at 9.5 to 1, and the gap between the two teams is not big. On the whole, the national football team will do its best in this game, and is expected to get the first point in the top 18 of this tournament with the blessing of "God" data.