Odds Outlook: Germany wants to break the spell or win 2-0 in the opening game of the European Cup【hongyan】

    As a quadrennial competition, bringing together the attention of fans and lottery players around the world, the opening match of the European Cup often presents a situation of "great heat will die", and the difficulty of winning the opening match of the host country has almost become a "curse". Data show that in the opening games of previous European Championships, the host country only achieved 4 wins, 5 draws and 4 losses, with a win rate of only 30%. This is in the Euro 2020 11 countries co-hosting Italy as the host condition, if not the Euro 2020, the host country's probability of winning the opening game will be even lower.

    In four of the last six European Championship openers, defending champions Germany were held to a 1-1 draw by Romania in 2000, hosts Portugal lost 2-1 at home to Greece in 2004, Switzerland 0-1 to the Czech Republic in 2008 and Poland 1-1 to Greece in 2012. However, in the last two competitions, the French team 2-1 Romania in 2016, although it was very difficult, but finally got the start, and Italy 3-0 successfully won the opponent in 2020.

    Germany has won the European Cup three times, and after the 2014 World Cup, as the "golden generation" of players gradually disappeared on the pitch, their performance in the big tournament has dropped significantly. In the last European Championship, they were drawn into the group of death and struggled to finish second, only to fall at the feet of their knockout opponents England. It can be seen in this squad that only Neuer, Kroos and Mueller who helped the team win the 2014 World Cup remain. However, after the new coach Nagelsmann took office, the German team's record has rebounded significantly, and the recent warm-up match has achieved a good result of 3 wins and 1 draw, which has also won 2-0 against France and 2-1 against the Netherlands, it can be said that the reference value is quite high.

    Scotland's first appearance in the opening game of the European Championship, compared to the hot German team, the pressure is obviously much less, they can play without concern, often this situation is to create a hotbed of surprises. In terms of the squad alone, the Scottish squad is dominated by players from England and Scotland, such as Manchester United's McTominay, Liverpool's Andrew Robertson and Arsenal's Tierney. And you know, in the qualifiers, they beat Norway with Haaland to qualify, and also beat Spain, the strength is not to be underestimated.
    The competition official gave the combination of 1.2(Germany win) 5(draw) 9.5(Scotland win), which is obviously more inclined to the German team playing at home. In terms of score, Germany's 2-0 is the lowest of 6.25 to 1, 1-0 and 2-1 wins are tied for the second lowest of 7 to 1, and 3-0 is the fourth lowest of 7.25 to 1, enough to explain the problem. Overall, the German team is expected to break the "magic spell" of the host's difficult win in the opening game, or a 2-0 victory over Scotland.